Cardiff MU vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 4
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAN
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
23%
22%
55%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
BAN
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |