Cardiff MU vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 5
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
TRE
80%
13%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
GOY
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAV
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |