Cardiff MU vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
7º
6º
37
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
74.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
RTW
0 - 4
BAL
10%
16%
74%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
CHE
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 1
BAL
25%
22%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 4
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |