Cardiff MU vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
61.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
GOY
4 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
GOY
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 4
BAL
12%
20%
69%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
AIK
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AIK
2 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 2
BAL
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |