Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
6 - 0
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAR
28%
26%
45%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
ABE
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 1
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |