Cardiff Corinthians vs Aberdare Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
ERA
0 - 4
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 2
DIN
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
33%
26%
42%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
GAR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
GAR
1 - 2
ABE
36%
24%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
BRI
3 - 2
ABE
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 0
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 1
WES
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
PON
4 - 0
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |