Championship Normal Season Round 11

Cardiff City vs Reading analysis

Cardiff City Reading
73 ELO 71
2.2% Tilt 3.1%
1491º General ELO ranking 1594º
Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Cardiff City
25.2%
Draw
23.6%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
Cardiff City
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.6%
Win probability
Reading
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cardiff City
+13%
-5%
Reading

ELO progression

Cardiff City
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2021
CAR
Cardiff City
0 - 4
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
37%
27%
36%
74 79 5 0
25 Sep. 2021
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
5 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
38%
26%
36%
75 71 4 -1
18 Sep. 2021
CAR
Cardiff City
0 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
31%
25%
43%
75 81 6 0
15 Sep. 2021
COV
Coventry City
1 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
28%
27%
46%
76 70 6 -1
12 Sep. 2021
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
25%
27%
48%
75 67 8 +1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2021
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
Reading
REA
30%
27%
43%
71 65 6 0
25 Sep. 2021
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
54%
24%
22%
71 68 3 0
18 Sep. 2021
FUL
Fulham
1 - 2
Reading
REA
58%
23%
18%
70 79 9 +1
14 Sep. 2021
REA
Reading
3 - 1
Peterborough United
POS
48%
24%
28%
69 68 1 +1
11 Sep. 2021
REA
Reading
3 - 3
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
37%
27%
36%
69 74 5 0