Championship Round 26

Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis

Cardiff City Plymouth Argyle
73 ELO 74
-10.1% Tilt 4%
1489º General ELO ranking 1452º
Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
43%
Cardiff City
27.9%
Draw
29.1%
Plymouth Argyle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Cardiff City
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.1%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cardiff City
+13%
-3%
Plymouth Argyle

ELO progression

Cardiff City
Plymouth Argyle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2007
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
44%
27%
29%
72 73 1 0
26 Dec. 2007
WAT
Watford
2 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
55%
24%
21%
72 78 6 0
22 Dec. 2007
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
38%
28%
34%
71 77 6 +1
15 Dec. 2007
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
50%
26%
25%
72 74 2 -1
11 Dec. 2007
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
49%
25%
26%
71 71 0 +1

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2007
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 2
Stoke City
STO
42%
27%
31%
74 76 2 0
26 Dec. 2007
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 1
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
57%
24%
19%
74 65 9 0
22 Dec. 2007
CRY
Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
50%
26%
24%
74 75 1 0
15 Dec. 2007
WAT
Watford
0 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
56%
24%
20%
74 78 4 0
08 Dec. 2007
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
47%
27%
26%
74 74 0 0