Championship Round 22

Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough analysis

Cardiff City Middlesbrough
78 ELO 76
8.3% Tilt 2.3%
1491º General ELO ranking 615º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
54%
Cardiff City
24%
Draw
22%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Cardiff City
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cardiff City
+13%
-4%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Cardiff City
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
MIL
Millwall
0 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
32%
26%
42%
79 71 8 0
04 Dec. 2011
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
44%
26%
31%
78 81 3 +1
29 Nov. 2011
CAR
Cardiff City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
35%
24%
41%
77 84 7 +1
26 Nov. 2011
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
64%
21%
15%
77 70 7 0
22 Nov. 2011
COV
Coventry City
1 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
20%
26%
54%
77 62 15 0

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
57%
25%
18%
75 72 3 0
03 Dec. 2011
BRI
Bristol City
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
34%
27%
39%
75 67 8 0
29 Nov. 2011
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 2
West Ham
WHU
33%
27%
40%
76 82 6 -1
26 Nov. 2011
POS
Peterborough United
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
47%
24%
29%
76 69 7 0
19 Nov. 2011
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Blackpool
BPO
45%
26%
30%
76 75 1 0