Carchá vs Petén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAC
3 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
TEC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
COB
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Petén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
ACH
38%
24%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
COB
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ZAC
3 - 2
PET
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
DEP
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JAL
0 - 0
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |