Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAC
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MIX
0 - 1
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
MIX
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MIX
1 - 1
CON
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MIX
1 - 0
QUI
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |