Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
JAL
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAY
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 0
ACH
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 0
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 3
MIX
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
SAY
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MIX
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |