1a Clausura Finals Final
Global 5-4
Carchá vs Deportivo Jocotán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
IZT
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
IZT
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
NUE
34%
23%
43%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 1
DEP
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
HAL
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
DEP
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |