Carchá vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAY
4 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
MIX
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
COB
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ZAC
1 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ZAC
2 - 0
ACH
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
SAY
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 0
QUI
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 3
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |