Carcavelinhos vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
10%
16%
74%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
3 - 2
APO
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 0
CAR
55%
20%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
VST
0 - 2
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 3
FCP
13%
18%
69%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SCP
66%
16%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
19%
19%
62%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 1
APO
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
LEX
2 - 5
FCP
11%
16%
73%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |