Carcavelinhos vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BEL
2 - 0
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
VST
4 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 0
SLB
26%
20%
55%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
BOA
4 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SCP
1 - 1
CAR
78%
13%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
4 - 0
BOA
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1936 |
BOA
0 - 3
FCP
39%
22%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
9 - 1
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |