Caravel vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
10º
10º
11
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
6 - 0
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
UFC
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 8
DAK
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
FAM
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
56%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 1
FAM
18%
19%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 2
ASF
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |