Caravel vs Jong Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
60.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
FAM
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
ASF
27%
20%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
SVB
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
SVR
76%
13%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
4 - 0
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SVR
2 - 1
SVJ
9%
14%
78%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
6 - 0
SVJ
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
SVJ
29%
21%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
5 - 2
SVB
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
4 - 0
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |