Caravel vs Caiquetio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
54.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
12º
11º
22
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
UFC
6 - 2
CAR
61%
18%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CDR
2 - 2
CAR
18%
18%
65%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
BRA
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUB
4 - 1
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVC
3 - 2
CAR
60%
19%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caiquetio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
SVC
0 - 1
BUB
44%
21%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SVC
0 - 2
UFC
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 3
SVC
10%
16%
73%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SVC
3 - 0
BRA
22%
19%
60%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVC
3 - 2
CAR
60%
19%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |