Caravel vs Deportivo Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
43%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
DAK
2 - 0
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 4
NAC
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 6
DAK
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 7
BRI
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 10
RCA
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DAK
2 - 2
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
BUB
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
NAC
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |