Caravaggio vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 2
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 0
USB
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
3 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
USP
2 - 1
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SER
3 - 0
NOV
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |