Carapebus EC vs Mesquita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CEC
4 - 2
CIG
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CEC
2 - 0
CDA
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 6
CEC
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 4
CEC
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CEC
1 - 0
PFC
43%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CIG
3 - 1
MES
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
MES
0 - 0
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ADC
1 - 1
MES
51%
21%
27%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
MES
3 - 4
TIG
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |