Carapebus EC vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEC
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
1 - 1
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 4
CEC
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
2 - 1
ZFC
37%
22%
40%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
CEC
34%
22%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BON
0 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
12%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
1 - 1
BON
23%
22%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BON
3 - 0
MAG
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
BON
1 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
BON
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |