Riga FC vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
6º
1º
23
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 85 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 84 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 60 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 51 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 29 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
41.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 3
CAR
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 5
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 1
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 4
RIG
24%
23%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
GRO
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
GRO
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 4
FSM
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
4 - 1
GRO
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |