Carajas vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carajas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 3
CEC
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 2
BPA
11%
16%
72%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CEC
1 - 3
PAR
11%
16%
74%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
SCI
3 - 2
CEC
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEC
0 - 1
BPA
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
PAY
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAY
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |