Caracas vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
CFC
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 1
YAR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
CSL
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 1
UNI
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
SWA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |