Caracas vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
4 - 1
CFC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 1
CFC
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 0
LAR
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 3
CFC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CFC
0 - 1
FLU
21%
25%
53%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
4 - 1
CFC
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 3
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VER
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
HUA
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |