Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 5
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CFC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
LAR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |