Caracas vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
3 - 4
CFC
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
HUA
34%
25%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 2
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 1
ZAM
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
ESC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
EST
4 - 2
ESC
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
TRU
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ESC
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |