Caracas vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CFC
53%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZUL
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 3
CFC
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 1
CFC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
4 - 0
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 2
ATL
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
POR
47%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
ANZ
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |