Caracas Sub 20 vs Deportivo Lara Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
TUC
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DLA
0 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DLA
2 - 0
TUC
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
DLA
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
DLA
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DLA
0 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |