Caracas II vs Angostura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
AME
1 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCV
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 4
CDS
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
2 - 4
GAS
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
2 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
AME
2 - 4
ANG
12%
21%
68%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | +1 |