Carabobo vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CFC
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
YAR
3 - 2
CAR
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
YAR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
ANZ
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
ANZ
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 0
EST
68%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
EST
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 3
LOT
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |