Carabobo vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
ZAM
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 3
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 4
CAR
7%
14%
79%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
YAR
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 0
ESC
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARA
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
YAR
1 - 1
ARA
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |