Clausura Venezuela . Jor. 11

Carabobo vs Aragua FC analysis

Carabobo Aragua FC
65 ELO 63
-9.7% Tilt -9.3%
938º General ELO ranking 2799º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Carabobo
25.6%
Draw
29%
Aragua FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Carabobo
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
Aragua FC
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carabobo
+7%
+19%
Aragua FC

ELO progression

Carabobo
Aragua FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carabobo
Carabobo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2018
MON
Monagas
3 - 0
Carabobo
CAR
49%
24%
27%
66 64 2 0
09 Sep. 2018
ZUL
Zulia FC
1 - 1
Carabobo
CAR
50%
24%
26%
66 66 0 0
05 Sep. 2018
CAR
Carabobo
0 - 0
Yaracuy
YAR
76%
16%
8%
64 45 19 +2
02 Sep. 2018
CAR
Carabobo
0 - 2
Deportivo Lara
LAR
45%
26%
29%
65 68 3 -1
29 Aug. 2018
YAR
Yaracuy
2 - 2
Carabobo
CAR
7%
13%
81%
65 44 21 0

Matches

Aragua FC
Aragua FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2018
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 0
Estudiantes de Caracas
ESC
60%
23%
17%
64 51 13 0
16 Sep. 2018
MET
Metropolitanos
0 - 2
Aragua FC
ARA
27%
26%
47%
63 57 6 +1
09 Sep. 2018
ARA
Aragua FC
2 - 0
At. Venezuela
ATL
41%
26%
33%
62 61 1 +1
05 Sep. 2018
ARA
Aragua FC
1 - 0
Caracas
CFC
29%
26%
46%
59 64 5 +3
01 Sep. 2018
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 0
Dep. Anzoátegui
ANZ
50%
25%
25%
59 54 5 0
X