Cappellen vs Bornem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAP
2 - 1
TUR
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAP
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAP
2 - 0
WEV
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
SPO
3 - 3
CAP
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CAP
3 - 4
DEN
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bornem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BOR
1 - 1
RAC
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
TUR
5 - 1
BOR
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BOR
0 - 4
TOR
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
WEV
1 - 1
BOR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 1
STA
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |