Cappellen vs Bornem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TUR
1 - 0
CAP
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAP
6 - 0
TKM
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BER
1 - 2
CAP
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAP
2 - 2
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
WAA
1 - 1
CAP
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bornem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BOR
1 - 0
TKM
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
BOR
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 0
WAA
26%
26%
49%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 3
BOR
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
BOR
1 - 0
WEV
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |