Capivariano vs União Suzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 5
CAP
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DES
0 - 0
CAP
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
CAP
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Suzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
USA
3 - 4
MAR
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |