Canvey Island vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
ENF
0 - 2
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 2
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 0
MAL
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
BUR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
EDT
3 - 0
CAN
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 1
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
WIN
0 - 2
DAR
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 2
ILF
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
YEL
3 - 0
WIN
61%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 0
ENF
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +4 |