Canvey Island vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 3
SUT
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
HAR
6 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 2
BIL
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 0
LOW
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAN
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
WEA
0 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
CRO
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 3
TOO
56%
22%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |