FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 7-2
Canvey Island vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 2
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
BOW
1 - 1
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 1
BOW
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 2
STI
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STI
0 - 0
CAN
38%
26%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 2
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 2
HAR
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 3
ASH
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 2
CHE
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 1
BAR
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |