Cañuelas vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cañuelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
LUJ
0 - 1
CAÑ
46%
26%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 2
CAÑ
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
LAF
31%
27%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
JJU
1 - 0
CAÑ
60%
22%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
SMA
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
SMG
0 - 0
MER
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
ARQ
2 - 1
MER
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |