Cantolagua vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 5
VAD
5%
17%
78%
|
19 | 81 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAN
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
2 - 2
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 2
PEÑ
18%
21%
62%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CDA
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
BID
0 - 0
PEÑ
10%
16%
74%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CDB
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FON
2 - 2
PEÑ
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |