Canoas SC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canoas SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VER
3 - 1
CAN
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCI
6 - 2
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
ECS
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAX
4 - 3
CAN
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
LAJ
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FLU
5 - 4
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |