Caniçal vs 1º Maio Funchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 2
PON
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 3
CAN
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAL
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AND
4 - 2
CAN
11%
18%
70%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
1º Maio Funchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
1MA
1 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
1MA
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
1MA
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
1MA
1 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
1MA
55%
23%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |