Canelas 2010 vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
11º
11º
20
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIA
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ANA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 1
CAN
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 0
CAN
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
ANA
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 1
TRO
14%
24%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 3
FAF
70%
19%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
TRO
18%
25%
58%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
ANA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |