Canelas 2010 vs Foz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BMA
0 - 2
CAN
81%
14%
6%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
LEC
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIN
0 - 3
CAN
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |