Canedense vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAN
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 1
GOI
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ITU
1 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 3
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CAN
5 - 3
MIN
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
ITU
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
ITU
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
3 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |