Canals vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 4
FON
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 3
MAS
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LLX
1 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 1
POR
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
UEM
3 - 0
PEG
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 0
FON
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MAS
1 - 0
PEG
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 2
LLX
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
POR
0 - 3
PEG
58%
22%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |