Canals vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LAL
1 - 0
CAN
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
SDS
69%
19%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JAV
2 - 2
CAN
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALG
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTS
4 - 3
CAN
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PEG
0 - 4
POR
14%
20%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEN
4 - 1
PEG
81%
14%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
UEG
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 2
PEG
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 3
ALC
30%
26%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |